![]() ![]() Those posts have some good meat to dig into, if you have off-season downtime! I also posted separately about how this year of low predictability affected my own models compared to the last 12 years. ![]() I recently made a separate post about how this season's all-time record low in game score differentials (a uniform NFL) caused streaming results to be poorer than usual, according to the accuracy of "other" ranking sources. And the 2021 summary.īackground context of the 2022 season: This season was apparently exceptional. The previous monthly accuracy updates were: week 4, week 8, and week 12. ![]() In keeping with the tradition of transparency and reflection, here is the final look back at 2022 streaming model accuracy and predictability. (If you have comments, this article was also posted here to Reddit.) A reminder that the website is in off-season mode: unlocked and free to explore.Īs always in the off-season, all projections now represent how the models would predict things now, “as if those games were played over again today.” This view lets us explore “what ifs” and “if only we had known…” Have fun with it! ![]()
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